Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.008374 0.009831 0.011575 0.013851 0.016793 0.020544 0.025811
2025-09-21 0.006475 0.008186 0.010470 0.013854 0.018953 0.026754 0.040533
2025-09-28 0.005619 0.007473 0.010144 0.014493 0.021900 0.035182 0.064553
2025-10-05 0.005195 0.007211 0.010314 0.015817 0.026360 0.048673 0.112968
2025-10-12 0.004732 0.006780 0.010093 0.016379 0.029654 0.062251 0.185483
2025-10-19 0.004241 0.006215 0.009524 0.016123 0.031150 0.072856 0.276447
2025-10-26 0.003904 0.005846 0.009213 0.016268 0.033622 0.088686 0.459610
2025-11-02 0.003571 0.005434 0.008753 0.015979 0.034905 0.102320 0.731742
2025-11-09 0.003210 0.004934 0.008052 0.015007 0.033961 0.106854 0.980175
2025-11-16 0.002925 0.004536 0.007496 0.014251 0.033385 0.112900 1.382318
2025-11-23 0.002774 0.004364 0.007356 0.014434 0.035785 0.137109 3.103717
2025-11-30 0.002591 0.004115 0.007030 0.014096 0.036374 0.153052 6.349192
2025-12-07 0.002385 0.003822 0.006611 0.013537 0.036335 0.168466 16.462527
2025-12-14 0.002246 0.003645 0.006417 0.013533 0.038469 0.207399 270.580796
2025-12-21 0.002171 0.003580 0.006450 0.014150 0.043565 0.296009 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002146 0.003608 0.006688 0.015431 0.052872 0.514643 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002072 0.003531 0.006678 0.015974 0.059341 0.795686 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001960 0.003366 0.006438 0.015727 0.061338 1.023940 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001879 0.003258 0.006323 0.015866 0.066001 1.530124 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001784 0.003113 0.006100 0.015587 0.067794 2.037182 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001666 0.002909 0.005712 0.014648 0.064288 2.044172 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001566 0.002740 0.005396 0.013916 0.061964 2.162402 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001516 0.002675 0.005334 0.014093 0.066776 3.656835 NaN